Yuan yafika pamlingo wapamwamba kwambiri pazaka zopitilira ziwiri, zomwe zikuwonetsa kutsogola kwa China pantchito yopanga ndikupatsa Purezidenti wosankhidwa Biden malo opumira.
Chuma cha Hong Kong-China chabwerera kuchokera kudzenje la mliri wa coronavirus, ndipo ndalama zake zalowa nawo.
M'miyezi yaposachedwa, ndalama zosinthira ndalama za dollar yaku US motsutsana ndi dollar yaku US ndi ndalama zina zazikulu zakwera kwambiri.Pofika Lolemba, ndalama zosinthira dola ya US ku dola ya US zinali 6.47 yuan, pamene dola ya US kumapeto kwa May inali 7.16 yuan, pafupi ndi mlingo wapamwamba kwambiri m'zaka ziwiri ndi theka.
Mtengo wandalama zambiri umakonda kudumpha, koma Beijing kwa nthawi yayitali idakhala muukapolo wa kusinthana kwa China, kotero kuti kudumpha kwa renminbi kumawoneka ngati kusintha kwamphamvu.
Kuyamikira kwa renminbi kumakhudza makampani omwe amapanga katundu ku China, omwe ndi gulu lalikulu.Ngakhale izi zikuwoneka kuti sizikugwira ntchito mpaka pano, zitha kupangitsa kuti zinthu zopangidwa ku China zikhale zodula kwa ogula padziko lonse lapansi.
Zotsatira zachindunji zitha kukhala ku Washington, komwe Purezidenti wosankhidwa a Biden akuyenera kupita ku White House sabata yamawa.M'maboma akale, kutsika kwa renminbi kudapangitsa Washington kukwiya.Kuyamikira kwa renminbi sikungachepetse kusamvana pakati pa mayiko awiriwa, koma kutha kuthetsa vuto lomwe lingakhalepo mu gawo la Biden.
Pakadali pano, coronavirus yasinthidwa ku China.Mafakitole aku America akupita kunja.Ogula padziko lonse lapansi (ambiri a iwo atsekeredwa kunyumba kapena osatha kugula matikiti a ndege kapena matikiti aulendo) akugula makompyuta onse opangidwa ndi China, ma TV, magetsi opangira ma selfie ring, mipando yozungulira, zida zamunda ndi zokongoletsa zina zomwe zitha kumangidwa.Zomwe zasonkhanitsidwa ndi Jefferies & Company zidawonetsa kuti gawo la China pazogulitsa kunja zidakwera mpaka 14.3% mu Seputembala.
Otsatsa amafunitsitsanso kusunga ndalama ku China, kapena kuyika ndalama zolumikizidwa ndi yuan.Ndi chitukuko champhamvu chachuma, Banki Yaikulu ya China ili ndi mwayi woti chiwongola dzanja chikhale chokwera kuposa cha ku Europe ndi United States, pomwe mabanki apakati ku Europe ndi United States amasunga chiwongola dzanja pamilingo yotsika m'mbiri kuti athandizire kukula.
Chifukwa cha kutsika kwa mtengo wa dollar yaku US, yuan pakadali pano ikuwoneka yamphamvu kwambiri poyerekeza ndi dollar yaku US.Otsatsa akubetcha kuti chuma chapadziko lonse lapansi chibwerera chaka chino, anthu ambiri ayamba kusamutsa ndalama zawo kuchokera kumalo otetezedwa omwe ali ndi madola (monga ma bond a US Treasury) kupita ku kubetcha kwangozi.
Kwa nthawi yayitali, boma la China lakhala likuyang'anira kwambiri kusintha kwa renminbi, mwina chifukwa laletsa kuchuluka kwa renminbi komwe kumatha kuwoloka malire kupita ku China.Ndi zida izi, ngakhale atsogoleri akadayenera kuyamikira renminbi, atsogoleri aku China asunga renminbi kukhala yofooka motsutsana ndi dola kwa zaka zambiri.Kutsika kwa mtengo wa renminbi kumathandiza mafakitale aku China kuchepetsa mitengo pogulitsa katundu kunja.
Pakadali pano, mafakitale aku China sakuwoneka kuti akufunika thandizo lotere.Ngakhale renminbi ingayamikire, zogulitsa kunja ku China zikupitilirabe.
Shaun Roache, katswiri wazachuma kudera la Asia-Pacific ku S&P Global, kampani yowerengera ndalama, adati chifukwa United States ili ndi gawo lalikulu lamakasitomala, anthu ambiri adagula kale malonda awo m'madola osati yuan.Izi zikutanthauza kuti ngakhale malire a phindu la mafakitale aku China angagundidwe, ogula aku America sangazindikire kuti kusiyana kwamitengo ndikokulirapo ndipo apitilizabe kugula.
Ndalama yamphamvu ndiyabwinonso ku China.Ogula aku China amatha kugula zinthu zochokera kunja mwanzeru, motero zimathandiza Beijing kukulitsa mbadwo watsopano wa ogula.Izi zikuwoneka bwino kwa akatswiri azachuma komanso opanga mfundo omwe akhala akulimbikitsa dziko la China kwanthawi yayitali kuti lichotse malamulo okhwima pazachuma ku China.
Kuyamikira kwa renminbi kungathandizenso China kuonjezera kukopa kwa ndalama zake kwa makampani ndi osunga ndalama omwe amakonda kuchita bizinesi ndi madola.Dziko la China lakhala likufuna kuti ndalama zake zikhale zapadziko lonse lapansi kuti ziwonjezere mphamvu zake padziko lonse lapansi, ngakhale kuti chikhumbo chofuna kuwongolera kagwiritsidwe ntchito kake nthawi zambiri chimasokoneza zokhumba zake.
A Becky Liu, wamkulu wa njira zazikulu zaku China ku Standard Chartered Bank, adati: "Ili ndi mwayi woti China ilimbikitse kufalikira kwa renminbi."
Komabe, ngati renminbi iyamikira mwachangu kwambiri, atsogoleri aku China atha kulowapo ndikuthetsa izi.
Otsutsa mkati mwa Beijing Congress ndi boma akhala akudzudzula boma la China kuti likugwiritsa ntchito ndalama za yuan mopanda chilungamo m'njira yomwe imapweteketsa opanga ku America.
Pachimake cha nkhondo yamalonda ndi United States, Beijing inalola yuan kuti iwonongeke pamtengo wofunikira wamalingaliro a 7 mpaka 1 dollar yaku US.Izi zidapangitsa olamulira a Trump kuyika dziko la China ngati wogwiritsa ntchito ndalama.
Tsopano, pamene olamulira atsopano akukonzekera kusamukira ku White House, akatswiri akuyang'ana zizindikiro kuti Beijing ikhoza kufewetsa.Osachepera, RMB yamphamvu pakadali pano imalepheretsa Biden kuthetsa vutoli kwakanthawi.
Komabe, sialiyense amene ali ndi chiyembekezo kuti kuyamikiridwa kwa renminbi kudzakhala kokwanira kukonza ubale pakati pa mayiko awiri akuluakulu azachuma padziko lapansi.
Eswar Prasad, yemwe kale anali mkulu wa China Department of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), anati: “Kuti mubwezeretse bata mu ubale wa China ndi US, pamafunika zambiri kuposa kungoyamikira ndalama.
Nthawi yotumiza: Jan-19-2021