Yuan yasvika padanho repamusoro mumakore anopfuura maviri, zvichiratidza hutongi hweChina mukugadzira uye kupa mutungamiri akasarudzwa Biden nzvimbo yekufema.
Hupfumi hweHong Kong-China hwadzoka kubva mugomba redenda rekoronavirus, uye mari yaro yapinda mumapoka.
Mumwedzi ichangopfuura, mutengo wekuchinja kwedhora rekuAmerica uchienzanisa nedhora rekuAmerica nedzimwe mari huru wakakwira zvakanyanya.Kubva Muvhuro, mutengo wekutsinhana kwedhora reUS kudhora reUS yaive 6.47 yuan, nepo dhora rekuAmerica pakupera kwaMay raive 7.16 yuan, padyo nepamusoro-soro mumakore maviri nehafu.
Kukosha kwemari zhinji kunoda kusvetukira kumusoro, asi Beijing yagara yakabata husungwa kuChina chekuchinjana, saka kusvetuka kwerenminbi kunoratidzika sekuchinja kwesimba.
Iko kukoshesa renminbi kune kukanganisa kumakambani anogadzira zvinhu muChina, iro iboka guru.Kunyangwe izvi zvinoita sezvisina mhedzisiro kusvika pari zvino, zvinogona kuita kuti zvigadzirwa zvinogadzirwa neChina zvidhure kune vatengi pasi rese.
Iyo yakanyanya kukonzeresa inogona kunge iri muWashington, uko Mutungamiriri-akasarudzwa Biden anofanirwa kuenda kuWhite House svondo rinouya.Muhurumende dzakapfuura, kudzikiswa kwerenminbi kwakakonzera kutsamwa kweWashington.Kutenda renminbi kunogona kusadzoreredza kusawirirana pakati penyika mbiri idzi, asi kunogona kubvisa dambudziko rinogona kuitika muchikamu cheBiden.
Parizvino parizvino, iyo coronavirus yakadzorwa muChina.Mafekitari emuAmerica ari kubuda ese.Vatengesi pasi rose (vazhinji vavo vakavharirwa kumba kana kuti vasingakwanisi kutenga matikiti endege kana kuti matikiti erwendo) vari kutenga makombiyuta ese akagadzirwa neChina, maTV, maraiti ezvidziviriro, macheya anotenderera, maturusi egadheni nezvimwe zvishongo zvinogona kugariswa.Data yakaunganidzwa neJefferies & Company yakaratidza kuti chikamu cheChina chekutengesa kunze kwenyika chakakwira kusvika parekodhi 14.3% munaGunyana.
Vagadziri vemari vanodawo kuchengetedza mari muChina, kana zvirinani mukudyara kwakabatana neyuan.Nekusimba kwakasimba kwehupfumi, Central Bank yeChina ine nzvimbo yekuti mhindu ikwire kupfuura iyo iri muEurope neUnited States, nepo mabhanga epakati muEurope neUnited States akachengeta mhindu pamatanho akaderera kare kutsigira kukura.
Nekuda kwekuderera kwedhora rekuAmerica, yuan pari zvino inoratidzika kunge yakasimba zvakanyanya kana ichienzaniswa nedhora rekuAmerica.Vanodyara mari vari kubheja kuti hupfumi hwepasi rose huchapora gore rino, saka vanhu vazhinji vari kutanga kutamisa mari yavo kubva munzvimbo dzakachengeteka dzakaiswa mumadhora (seUS Treasury bond) kuenda kumabheti e riskier.
Kwenguva yakareba, hurumende yeChinese yakadzora zvakasimba renminbi exchange rate, muchidimbu nekuti yakadzora chiyero che renminbi chinogona kuyambuka muganhu kupinda China.Nezvishandiso izvi, kunyangwe vatungamiriri vaifanira kutenda renminbi, vatungamiriri veChinese vakachengeta renminbi isina kusimba padhora kwemakore mazhinji.Kuderedzwa kwerenminbi kunobatsira mafekitori eChinese kuderedza mitengo pakutengesa zvinhu mhiri kwemakungwa.
Parizvino, mafekitari ekuChina anoita seasingade rubatsiro rwakadaro.Kunyangwe iyo renminbi ichifarira, kutengesa kunze kwenyika kweChina kunoramba kuchikwira.
Shaun Roache, mukuru wezvehupfumi kudunhu reAsia-Pacific reS&P Global, kambani inoyemura mitengo, akati nekuda kwekuti United States ine chikamu chikuru chevatengi vayo, vanhu vazhinji vakatotenga bhizinesi ravo nemadhora kwete yuan.Izvi zvinoreva kuti kunyangwe mibairo yemafekitori eChinese inogona kurohwa, vatengesi vekuAmerica havazoona kuti mutsauko wemitengo wakakurisa uye vacharamba vachitenga.
Mari yakasimba yakanakirawo China.Vatengi veChinese vanogona kutenga zvinhu zvinobva kunze kwenyika nehungwaru, zvichibatsira Beijing kurima chizvarwa chitsva chevatengi.Izvi zvinotaridzika zvakanaka kune vezvehupfumi nevagadziri vemitemo avo vagara vachikurudzira China kuti iregedze kudzora kwakasimba pahurongwa hwemari hweChina.
Kukoshesa renminbi kunogonawo kubatsira China kuwedzera kukwezva kwemari yayo kumakambani nevanoisa mari vanofarira kuita bhizinesi nemadhora.China yakagara ichitsvaga kuita kuti mari yayo iwedzere kune dzimwe nyika kuitira kuti iwedzere simba rayo repasi rose, kunyange zvazvo chido chekudzora kushandiswa kwayo kazhinji chinoisa mumvuri pamusoro pezvishuvo izvi.
Becky Liu, mukuru weChina macro strategy kuStandard Chartered Bank, akati: "Iri ihwindo remukana weChina kusimudzira kudyidzana kwenyika renminbi."
Nekudaro, kana iyo renminbi ichikoshesa nekukasira, vatungamiriri veChinese vanogona kupinda mukati nekupedza maitiro aya.
Vatsoropodzi mukati meBeijing Congress uye hurumende vave vachipomera hurumende yeChina nekusaruramisa yuan exchange rate nenzira inokuvadza vagadziri veAmerica.
Pakukwirira kwehondo yekutengeserana neUnited States, Beijing yakabvumira yuan kuderera kune yakakosha yepfungwa chikumbaridzo che7 kusvika ku1 US dhora.Izvi zvakaita kuti hutongi hwaTrump husarudze China semushandisi wemari.
Zvino, sezvo hutongi hutsva huri kugadzirira kupinda muWhite House, nyanzvi dziri kutsvaga zviratidzo zvekuti Beijing inogona kupfava.Zvirinani, iyo RMB yakasimba parizvino inodzivirira Biden kugadzirisa dambudziko iri kwenguva pfupi.
Zvisinei, havasi vose vane tarisiro yekuti kukoshesa renminbi kuchakwana kugadzirisa hukama pakati penyika mbiri dzehupfumi hukuru.
Eswar Prasad, aimbova mukuru weChina Dhipatimendi reInternational Monetary Fund (IMF), akati: "Kudzoreredza kugadzikana kuhukama hweChina neUS, zvinotora zvinopfuura kungokoshesa mari.
Nguva yekutumira: Jan-19-2021