Suuqa birta ayaa inta badan ku urursan horumarinta Shiinaha, taas oo aan la yaab lahayn, sababtoo ah iibsada alaabooyinka ugu badan ee adduunka ayaa ah qiyaastii 70% xamuulka badaha adduunka.
Laakiin 30% kale ayaa runtii muhiim ah - kadib cudurka faafa ee coronavirus, waxaa jira calaamado muujinaya in baahida soo kabatay.
Marka loo eego xogta la socodka maraakiibta iyo xogta dekeda oo ay soo diyaarisay Refinitiv, wadarta guud ee qiiqa macdanta birta badda ee dekedaha ka soo baxay bishii January waxay ahayd 134 milyan oo tan.
Tani waa koror ka yimid 122.82 milyan tan bishii Disembar iyo 125.18 milyan tan bishii Nofembar, sidoo kale waxay ku dhowdahay 6.5% ka sarreeya wax soo saarkii Janaayo 2020.
Tirooyinkan ayaa runtii muujinaya soo kabashada suuqa maraakiibta adduunka.Burburku wuxuu taageeray aragtida ah in iibsadayaasha waaweyn ee ka baxsan Shiinaha, Japan, Kuuriyada Koonfureed iyo Galbeedka Yurub, ay bilaabeen inay kordhiyaan xooggooda.
Bishii Janaayo, Shiinuhu wuxuu badda ka soo dhoofiyay 98.79 milyan oo tan oo alaabta ceeriin ah, taas oo macnaheedu yahay 35.21 milyan oo tan oo adduunka intiisa kale ah.
Isla bishaas 2020, wax soo dejinta adduunka marka laga reebo Shiinaha ayaa gaadhay 34.07 milyan tan, korodhka sannad kasta 3.3%.
Tani uma eka inay tahay koror la taaban karo, laakiin marka la eego dhaawaca soo gaaray dhaqaalaha adduunka inta lagu guda jiro xiritaanka si loo xakameeyo faafitaanka coronavirus inta badan 2020, runtii waa dib u soo kabasho xooggan.
Soo dejinta birta ee Japan bishii Jannaayo waxay ahayd 7.68 milyan oo tan, wax yar ka sarreeya 7.64 milyan oo tan bishii Disembar iyo 7.42 milyan tan bishii Nofembar, laakiin wax yar ayaa hoos uga dhacay 7.78 milyan tan bishii Janaayo 2020.
Kuuriyada Koonfureed waxay soo dejisay 5.98 milyan tan bishii Jannaayo ee sanadkan, taasoo ah koror heer dhexdhexaad ah oo ka ahaa 5.97 milyan oo tan bishii Disembar, laakiin in ka yar 6.94 milyan oo tan bishii Nofembar iyo 6.27 milyan oo tan bishii Janaayo 2020.
Bishii Janaayo, wadamada Galbeedka Yurub waxay soo dejiyeen 7.29 milyan oo tan.Tani waa koror ka yimid 6.64 milyan bishii Disembar iyo 6.94 milyan bishii Nofembar, oo kaliya wax yar ayaa ka hooseysa 7.78 milyan Janaayo 2020.
Waxaa xusid mudan in soo dejinta Galbeedka Yurub ay dib u soo celiyeen 53.2% marka loo eego 2020 hoose ee 4.76 milyan tan bishii Juun.
Sidoo kale, wax soo dejinta Japan ee Janaayo ayaa kordhay 51.2% marka loo eego bishii ugu hooseysay sanadkii hore (5.08 milyan oo tan bishii Maajo), iyo soo dejinta Kuuriyada Koonfureed ayaa kordhay 19.6% bishii ugu xumaa ee 2020 (5 milyan oo tan bishii Febraayo).
Guud ahaan, xogtu waxay muujinaysaa in inkasta oo Shiinuhu uu weli yahay waddanka ugu weyn ee soo dhoofsada macdanta birta, iyo isbeddelka dalabka Shiinaha uu saameyn weyn ku leeyahay iibinta macdanta birta, doorka ganacsatada yaryar ayaa laga yaabaa in la dhayalsado.
Tani waxay si gaar ah run u tahay haddii kobaca dalabka Shiinaha (qaybta labaad ee 2020 iyadoo Beijing ay kor u qaadayso kharashaadka kicinta) waxay bilaabataa inay libdho iyadoo tallaabooyinka adkaynta lacageed ay bilaabeen inay adkeeyaan 2021.
Soo kabashada Japan, Kuuriyada Koonfureed iyo kuwa kale ee yaryar ee Aasiya soo dejisa ayaa gacan ka geysan doona hoos u dhac kasta oo ku yimaada baahida Shiinaha.
Sida suuqa macdanta birta, Galbeedka Yurub ilaa xad waa ka go'ay Aasiya.Laakiin mid ka mid ah alaab-qeybiyeyaasha ugu badan ee Brazil waa Brazil, kororka dalabka ayaa hoos u dhigi doona xaddiga birta ee laga dhoofiyo waddamada Koonfurta Ameerika ee loo dhoofiyo Shiinaha.
Intaa waxaa dheer, haddii baahida galbeedka Yurub ay daciifto, waxay la macno tahay in qaar ka mid ah alaab-qeybiyeyaasheeda, sida Kanada, lagu dhiirigelinayo inay u soo dhoofiyaan Aasiya, sidaas darteed waxay xoojinayaan tartanka culus ee birta ah.Australia, Brazil iyo Koonfur Afrika ayaa ah kuwa ugu weyn adduunka.Saddex shixnad.
Qiimaha macdanta birta ayaa wali si weyn u dhaqaajinaya dhaqdhaqaaqa suuqa Shiinaha.Qiimaynta qiimaynta wakaaladda warbixinta qiimaha badeecada ee Argus 62% qiimaha goobta macdanta ayaa gaadhay heerar sare oo taariikhi ah sababtoo ah baahida Shiinaha ayaa ahayd mid dabacsan.
Qiimaha goobta ayaa lagu xidhay 159.60 US dollars per ton maalintii isniinta, taas oo ka sarraysa qiimihii ugu hooseeyay ee 149.85 US dollars ilaa hadda 2 February ee sanadkan, laakiin waxa uu ka hooseeyaa 175.40 US dollars 21 December, kaas oo ah qiimihii ugu sarreeyay tobankii sano ee la soo dhaafay.
Maaddaama ay jiraan calaamado muujinaya in Beijing ay hoos u dhigi karto kharashaadka kicinta sanadkan, qiimaha macdanta birta ayaa cadaadis saarnaa toddobaadyadii la soo dhaafay, saraakiisha ayaa sheegay in wax soo saarka birta la yareeyo si loo yareeyo wasakhowga iyo isticmaalka tamarta.
Waxaa suurtogal ah in baahida xooggan ee qaybaha kale ee Aasiya ay bixiso qaar ka mid ah taageerada qiimaha.(Tafatirka waxaa sameeyay Kenneth Maxwell)
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