Imakethe yensimbi igxile kakhulu ekuthuthukisweni kweShayina, okungamangazi, ngoba umthengi omkhulu wezimpahla emhlabeni uthatha cishe u-70% wempahla ethunyelwa olwandle.
Kepha amanye ama-30% abaluleke ngempela - ngemuva kobhubhane lwe-coronavirus, kunezimpawu zokuthi isidingo sesibuyile.
Ngokusho kokulandela umkhumbi kanye nedatha yechweba ehlanganiswe yi-Refinitiv, ingqikithi yokukhishwa kwensimbi yasolwandle evela emachwebeni ngoJanuwari yayingamathani ayizigidi ezingu-134.
Lokhu kuwukunyuka kusuka kumathani ayizigidi eziyi-122.82 ngoDisemba kanye namathani ayizigidi eziyi-125.18 ngoNovemba, futhi kuphinde kube phezulu ngo-6.5% kunomphumela owenziwe ngoJanuwari 2020.
Lezi zibalo zikhombisa ukusimama kwemakethe yemikhumbi yomhlaba.Ukuwa kusekele umbono wokuthi abathengi abakhulu abangaphandle kweChina, okuyiJapan, iSouth Korea neWestern Europe, sebeqalile ukukhulisa amandla abo.
NgoJanuwari, iChina yangenisa amathani ayizigidi ezingama-98.79 ezinto zokusetshenziswa zokwenziwa ngensimbi olwandle, okusho amathani ayizigidi ezingama-35.21 emhlabeni wonke.
Ngayo leyo nyanga ka-2020, ukuthengwa kwamanye amazwe ngaphandle kwaseChina kwaba amathani ayizigidi ezingama-34.07, okuwukunyuka konyaka ngo-3.3%.
Lokhu akubonakali njengokwenyuka okukhulu, kepha mayelana nomonakalo emnothweni womhlaba ngesikhathi sokuvalwa kwendawo ukuze kuqukethe ukusatshalaliswa kwe-coronavirus ingxenye enkulu ka-2020, empeleni kuwukubuya okuqinile.
I-iron ore yaseJapan engenisiwe ngoJanuwari yayingamathani ayizigidi ezingu-7.68, ingaphezulu kancane kwamathani ayizigidi ezingu-7.64 ngoDisemba kanye namathani ayizigidi ezingu-7.42 ngoNovemba, kodwa yehle kancane isuka kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-7.78 ngoJanuwari 2020.
ISouth Korea ingenise amathani ayizigidi ezingu-5.98 ngoJanuwari walo nyaka, okuwukukhuphuka kwezinga elilinganiselwe lisuka kumathani ayizigidi ezingu-5.97 ngoDisemba, kodwa libe ngaphansi kwamathani ayizigidi ezingu-6.94 ngoNovemba kanye namathani ayizigidi ezingu-6.27 ngoJanuwari 2020.
NgoJanuwari, amazwe aseNtshonalanga Yurophu angenisa amathani ayizigidi ezingu-7.29.Lokhu kungukukhuphuka kusuka ezigidini eziyisi-6.64 ngoDisemba kanye nezigidi ezingama-6.94 ngoNovemba, futhi kungaphansi kancane kunezigidi ezingama-7.78 ngoJanuwari 2020.
Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi ukuthengwa kwamanye amazwe aseNtshonalanga Yurophu kukhuphuke ngo-53.2% kusukela ku-2020 ephansi yamathani ayizigidi ezingu-4.76 ngoJuni.
Ngokufanayo, ukuthengwa kwempahla yaseJapan ngoJanuwari kukhuphuke ngo-51.2% kusukela enyangeni ephansi kakhulu yangonyaka odlule (amathani ayizigidi ezingu-5.08 ngoMeyi), futhi ukuthengwa kweNingizimu Korea kukhuphuke ngo-19.6% kusukela ngenyanga embi kakhulu ka-2020 (amathani ayizigidi ezi-5 ngoFebhuwari).
Sekukonke, idatha ibonisa ukuthi nakuba i-China isengumthengisi omkhulu wensimbi, futhi ukushintshashintsha kwesidingo samaShayina kunomthelela omkhulu ekuthengisweni kwe-iron ore, indima yabangenisi abancane ingase ibukeke phansi.
Lokhu kuyiqiniso ikakhulukazi uma ukukhula kwesidingo samaShayina (engxenyeni yesibili ka-2020 njengoba i-Beijing inyusa imali esetshenziswayo) iqala ukuncipha njengoba izindlela zokuqinisa imali ziqala ukuqina ngo-2021.
Ukuthola kabusha kwe-Japan, i-South Korea nabanye abangenisi abancane base-Asia kuzosiza ukulungisa noma yikuphi ukwehla kwesidingo samaShayina.
Njengemakethe yensimbi, iNtshonalanga Yurophu ngokwezinga elithile ihlukene ne-Asia.Kodwa omunye wabahlinzeki abakhulu baseBrazil yiBrazil, futhi ukwanda kwesidingo kuzonciphisa inani lensimbi ethunyelwa ngaphandle isuka emazweni aseNingizimu Melika iye eChina.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, uma isidingo eNtshonalanga Yurophu sibuthakathaka, kuzosho ukuthi abanye abahlinzeki bayo, njengeCanada, bazokhuthazwa ukuba bathumele e-Asia, ngaleyo ndlela baqinise ukuncintisana nezinsimbi ezisindayo zensimbi.I-Australia, iBrazil kanye neNingizimu Afrika yizona ezinkulu emhlabeni.Abathumbi abathathu.
Intengo ye-iron ore isaqhutshwa kakhulu amandla emakethe yaseShayina.Isilinganiso sokulinganisa se-ejensi yokubika intengo yempahla ye-Argus engu-62% intengo yendawo ye-ore ibe phezulu ngenxa yokuthi isidingo sase-China siye sanwebeka.
Intengo yendawo ivaliwe kuma-dollar angu-159.60 ngethani ngalinye ngoMsombuluko, ephakeme kune-149.85 yamadola aseMelika kuze kube manje ngoFebhuwari 2 kulo nyaka, kodwa iphansi kune-175.40 yamadola aseMelika ngoDisemba 21, okuyinani eliphakeme kakhulu kule minyaka eyishumi edlule.
Njengoba kunezibonakaliso zokuthi i-Beijing ingase inciphise ukusetshenziswa kwe-stimulus kulo nyaka, amanani e-iron ore abe ngaphansi kwengcindezi emasontweni amuva nje, futhi izikhulu ziye zathi ukukhiqizwa kwensimbi kufanele kuncishiswe ukuze kuncishiswe ukungcola nokusetshenziswa kwamandla.
Kungenzeka ukuthi isidingo esinamandla kwezinye izingxenye ze-Asia sizohlinzeka ngosekelo oluthile lwamanani.(Kuhlelwa nguKenneth Maxwell)
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Isikhathi sokuthumela: Feb-24-2021